Courtland Sutton has emerged as a legit fantasy #1 WR for me. John Elway has finally found his franchise QB in Drew Lock and Sutton has benefited greatly. Also this off season the Broncos went out and got Lock another weapon or two and Sutton has some running partners. I think the addition of Jerry Juedy was a great pick by the Broncos front office and will only benefit Sutton.
So let’s dig into Suttons season as a whole to start off with. Sutton ended the 2019 season with 124 targets and 72 catches. He amassed 1,112 yards and 6 touchdowns. Once Emmanuel Sanders was traded, Sutton became the clear cut first option for whoever was under center. After the week 8 trade Sutton finished almost 30 targets higher than the next closest Bronco. Sutton also was receiving a 25% market share of the targets, and a crazy 42% of the air yards.
Now lets move to the weeks that Drew Lock was under center and compare the small 5 game sample. In weeks 13 through 17 Sutton averaged 8 targets a game with the same target share and market share of 40% of the air yards. I assume Lock and Sutton if given the time can produce at a much higher clip than the 22 catches for 280 yards Sutton had in those 5 games. As I stressed earlier Jerry Juedy should also take some pressure off of Sutton so defenses can’t focus solely on him in the passing game.
Going into the 2020 season I have huge hopes for Sutton and he will be a guy I heavily target in fantasy drafts and DFS. I think he is somewhat match-up proof. Another year with Lock and the additions on offense with Juedy and Melvin Gordon may make this the second best offense in the west. My prediction for Sutton is:
150 targets, 96 catches, 1323 yards and 9tds.